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What a Proxy Backtest Can (and Can’t) Tell You

Brian Ernest Metzger on May 29, 2026

Proxy backtests can answer useful questions when original markets, data, or rules cannot be replicated directly—if substitutes and limits are disclosed.

A Signal Isn’t a Strategy

Brian Ernest Metzger on May 27, 2026

A signal can point to a pattern, but a strategy needs rules, timing, sizing, costs, accounting, benchmarks, and failure-mode review before it deserves trust.

A Backtest Should Be a Proving Ground, Not a Sales Pitch

Brian Ernest Metzger on May 26, 2026

Learn why BTS treats backtests as proving grounds, testing signals against costs, execution, portfolio accounting, benchmarks, failure modes, and uncertainty.

Why a Standardized Methodology Matters in Backtesting

Brian Ernest Metzger on May 5, 2026

See why standardized backtesting methodology matters—and how clear assumptions make strategy results easier to inspect, compare, challenge, and trust.

How to Choose the Right Benchmark

Brian Ernest Metzger on April 3, 2026

Learn how choosing the right benchmark changes the question a backtest answers, from opportunity set and control portfolio to active overlay and trade-off.

The January Barometer Says Risk-On. The January Confirmation Indicator Says Risk-Off. Now What?

Brian Ernest Metzger on February 1, 2026

Review the 2026 split between the January Barometer and JCI and see how breadth, volatility, and confirmation changed the risk read for the full year.

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