Real tests. Hard data. No spin.
If it’s not Backtested Strategies,
it’s not backtested.
Many timing systems reduce risk by getting out of the market. The hard part is preserving buy-and-hold-like compounding while doing it. UMT achieves that with less capital and lower risk. Make UMT your starting point.
BTS Universal Market Timer
Buy-and-hold gains with less pain. UMT helps you stay invested while reducing capital exposure, drawdown, and volatility. You choose what to trade; the Model tells you when to buy, sell, and how much to commit. Open UMT →
Buy-and-hold gains with less pain. UMT helps you stay invested with less capital exposure, lower drawdown, and reduced volatility. You choose what to trade; the Model tells you when to buy, sell, and how much to commit. Open UMT →
Know when to act—and when not to.
Put timing, seasonality, and relative strength to work before you trade.
BTS Universal Market Timer
Know when to buy, hold, scale in, or sell with market-timing signals and position-size guidance.
BTS Heatmaps
Spot seasonal patterns using historical return, consistency, volatility and relative-performance.
BTS Zones
Target recurring multi-week periods of unusual historical strength or weakness versus the S&P 500.
Featured strategies
See how selected strategies have performed across both the recent market and their full test periods.
| Strategy | Universe | CAGR 2021–2025 |
CAGR Full period |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTS Strength Zones Nasdaq-100 Stocks | Nasdaq-100 stocks | 52.7% | 47.1% 2003–2025 |
| BTS Strength Zones S&P-100 Stocks | S&P-100 stocks | 45.6% | 36.1% 2003–2025 |
| BTS Strength Zones Industry ETFs | Industry ETFs | 41.2% | 27.0% 2003–2025 |
| BTS Strength Zones Dow-65 Stocks | Dow-65 stocks | 40.5% | 32.0% 2003–2025 |
| BTS Strength Zones U.S. Sector ETFs | U.S. sector ETFs | 34.7% | 18.7% 2005–2025 |
| BTS Strength Zones Country ETFs | Country ETFs | 25.6% | 24.8% 2003–2025 |
| BTS Strength Zones Major Index ETFs | Major-index ETFs | 16.2% | 14.5% 2004–2025 |
| Dual Momentum | U.S., international, and bond ETFs | 10.6% | 7.9% 2010–2025 |
Compare the full lineup in the Strategies Library and see which strategies deserve a deeper look.
Research, not rhetoric
We publish the full test, not just the attractive outcome. Our research shows how a strategy performed, where it struggled, what risks it took, and how it compared with the relevant benchmark.
Our growing research library makes it easier to compare strategies, assumptions, risks, and portfolio roles on a consistent basis.
Methodology, not marketing
Every backtest is evaluated under a common testing framework. Strategy-specific rules stay on the strategy page; shared conventions for data, costs, dividends, portfolio accounting, benchmarks, and reporting live in the BTS Methodology.
That consistency makes strategy results easier to compare—and the assumptions behind them easier to inspect.
Precision, not persuasion
Details matter when small assumptions can change the conclusion. We scrutinize definitions, edge cases, calculations, limitations, and claims before a backtest is published.
Choose the level of access that fits how deeply you want to investigate the evidence.
Evaluate trading ideas quickly.
See strategy rules, signal examples, preview metrics, and introductory access to BTS Heatmaps and UMT before deciding to go deeper.
See if the strategy holds up.
Unlock full results, equity curves, drawdowns, risks, portfolio-role analysis, plus broader cohort access across BTS Heatmaps and UMT.
Go deeper into the evidence.
Add pseudocode, calendar returns, implementation details, rolling diagnostics, and full access across BTS Heatmaps and UMT.